rolf wroteTech Guru wroteThings are flipping towards a negative outlook. 149 Registered cases & confirmed so far by the Ministry of Health.
#BeSafe
I believe that once this is done 20% of the population would have been infected, I estimate that it will start to end in 3 months. I estimate that by then we will have 2500 to 10000 deaths in Lebanon.
The number of cases is not very reliable because AFAIK they are not doing wide testing in Lebanon so the number you see are just people who are very sick and go to the hospital and are tested. I would guess there are at least 400 cases in Lebanon, in reality.
These are very rough preliminary estimations based on what happened in other places...
I agree , however there are masked cases no one is exposing / registering it. Only two official sources registering the cases:
Ministry of Health & Rafiq Harriri Government Hospital.
The Reckless Approach that has been followed will get things worser:
First, taking only the temperature of arriving passengers from infected areas. Knowing that the virus incubation period is 7-21Days for symptoms to appear.
Second, taking very easy/careless mesaures for people on religious purpose visits ( mainly from Iran / Italy) as if they have a divine protection / passport.
Third, the illegal routes of the Lebanese-Syrian borders unsurvellied always. Points of border at Masaa & Abudieh no tough measures.
Point here there mare many crackes for the virus to boom here , which is the case now. Many donot have at all any somatic symptoms ( strong immune system) yet holding the virus & infecting others. Some who are actually infected are not reporting their cases even.