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  • Scientific explanation for hot and dry weather this winter?

So as you saw it till now Lebanon is suffering from a crazy relative warm temperatures and dry weather for a month of January.
And no, there no hope of incoming storm soon,instead temperatures are gonna raise all along this week with sunny and dusty weather.
All the remaining snow will totally melt.
We are having about 18 to 25c (next week) during day while we should have 11 to 17c.
15c to 18c during night while it should be 10 to 15c.
I won't talk about rain mm quantity as we are of course much lower than normal.
I saw 2 months of January with late ski season (end of January) but NEVER so high temperatures for so long.
It's like Lebanon is a the same weather level as Egypt.
Global warming is said to hit us for sure but it's a slow process.
Just for the records: just before Alexa storm the Chabrouh water stocks were empty,Alexa storm alone is far from being sufficient to give Lebanon enough water till next winter.
Any scientific explanation??
i would be impressed if i find out that lebanon is making something out of the rain.

there is a wrong idea that weather on earth is quite static, which is ofcourse is not the case if you look into history. Ice age and what not. people are so desperate to control and feel a sense of comfort. The truth is more chaotic than you imagine. welcome, this is nature.
It's more like the extreme weather is going away. I find this to be one of the coldest winters in a long time. But we won't reach the stage where it completely snows over. As rtp said, it is simply becoming more chaotic.

Vegetaleb, Egypt's climate is different. It ranges from prairie climate to full desert climate there. The main aspect of such a climate is hot dry days and very cold dry evenings. Egypt is actually more humid these days than a decade ago. Same heat but different humidity.

Weather changes due to many things. Those include topography changes such as less forests and more dust.
I explained in a different topic. The weather tends to have mini cycles where certain periods are actually dry and warm while others area cool and rainy.
No one ever comments about the fact that summer was very normal and we had almost no heat waves.
Most people think summer is a crazy 37c everyday with high humidity when in fact it barely crosses 31c.
This is completely normal. Temperatures are slightly above average but nothing crazy. Rainfall amounts are just below average but nothing too low.
This happens people. Its very normal. Remember that its normal for some places to be warmer than years ago due to urbanization and the urban heat island effect. Buildings and asphalt etc... all retain heat and create warmer conditions.
We are not turning into egypt or any other country.
The winter can have a late start. There are cycles that are short term within seasons and cycles that are seasonal and multi year cycles that go on for a few years.
Regarding alexa, the storm was very powerful but the center was over Lebanon which mean cold and stable conditions while all the rain circles around the storm. Again, it happens. No need to panic people and not every time the weather is a bit weird we call up global warming, it does not work like that.
So people, relax the weather is very dynamic and affected by many factors which means this is very normal.
If you have any questions let me know.
reppinhighz wroteNo need to panic people and not every time the weather is a bit weird we call up global warming, it does not work like that.
So people, relax the weather is very dynamic and affected by many factors which means this is very normal.
If you have any questions let me know.
I don't know what you are trying to do but Global warming is a FACT, another fact is we are abusing our planet.
As for relaxation, I think everyone is relaxed actually more relaxed than they should be especially around here.

Besides, you talk like you offer a guarantee for what you're saying.
As for exaggerating things, yes we do tend to exaggerate every single thing. simply because we have nothing to do. we live on these kind of things.
xerxes wrote
reppinhighz wroteNo need to panic people and not every time the weather is a bit weird we call up global warming, it does not work like that.
So people, relax the weather is very dynamic and affected by many factors which means this is very normal.
If you have any questions let me know.
I don't know what you are trying to do but Global warming is a FACT, another fact is we are abusing our planet.
As for relaxation, I think everyone is relaxed actually more relaxed than they should be especially around here.

Besides, you talk like you offer a guarantee for what you're saying.
Lol you're a bit aggressive today :)

I will say it again, unusual weather situations is not a reason to mention global warming. I never said global warming is not a fact or is not real (Even though evidence suggest a 50/50 with some people saying that we are actually peaking heat wise and turning colder slowly, but im not gonna argue that with anyone :) )
I just said it does not work that way. Global warming if in fact it does exist works on a very slow and broad scale and the problem lies with people connecting seasonal events with the bigger picture. Such seasonal variations are common on the short term (weeks, within seasons) as well as the long term (multi year cycles and decades) and are not the consequences of global warming (maybe to an extent, ill give you that).
I hope everyone is relaxed because im seeing nervous people everywhere :)
And no i do not offer a guarantee but i spent a year studying meteorology at the university of Florida and ive had a passion for weather related stuff for over 10 years, studying books and doing all kinds of personal studies. So i may not be an expert but im capable of doing great things in terms of understanding and forecasting the weather.
Ice caps are receding.
Josefino Comiso, a senior research scientist at NASA, found that the “rate of warming in the Arctic over the last 20 years is eight times the rate of warming over the last 100 years.”[9] In September 2012, sea ice reached its smallest size ever. Journalist John Vidal stated that sea ice is "700,000 sq km below the previous minimum of 4.17m sq km set in 2007".[10] In August 2013, Arctic sea ice extent averaged 6.09m km2, which represents 1.13 million km2 below the 1981-2010 average for that month.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polar_ice_cap
Shut up.
arithma wroteIce caps are receding.
Josefino Comiso, a senior research scientist at NASA, found that the “rate of warming in the Arctic over the last 20 years is eight times the rate of warming over the last 100 years.”[9] In September 2012, sea ice reached its smallest size ever. Journalist John Vidal stated that sea ice is "700,000 sq km below the previous minimum of 4.17m sq km set in 2007".[10] In August 2013, Arctic sea ice extent averaged 6.09m km2, which represents 1.13 million km2 below the 1981-2010 average for that month.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polar_ice_cap
Shut up.
On the contrary my friend :)
seriously bro the best you could do is quote an article in wikipedia and tell me to shut up?
at least drop the shut up to keep this thread civil.

ps: i even said its a 50/50 chance since different studies point to different things but you felt the need to "win"

come onnnnnn
arithma wroteIs this better? http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/2013/09/a-real-hole-near-the-pole/
You can't show me a page that shows me "Spirituality & Religion" and expect me to give credit :)
http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/files/2000/09/Figure31.png
Im not sure which page you are referring to, maybe the link that rtp posted and not me.
Anyways yes this is much better but lets keep in mind data only goes back 30-40 years so reality of the past 100 years could be much different, i dont know. At the same time, the link in the examiner also shows an opposing view. The whole point here is no one is really sure what is happening but when it comes to dry periods like we are experiencing right now or anything slightly unusual for that matter, its simply not smart to connect it to events that extend hundreds to thousands of years.
Oh yes, it's so very confusing when articles based on peer-reviewed scientific research are in disagreement with the bible. God didn't say anything about global warming, so we don't know what to think!

What the hell is wrong with you people?
Meanwhile they have -50c in the US now,Typhoon in East Africa coast and rain in Dubai.
Something is obviously wrong with this winter on a planetary scale.
Could it be Oceanic currents?
eWizzard wroteOh yes, it's so very confusing when articles based on peer-reviewed scientific research are in disagreement with the bible. God didn't say anything about global warming, so we don't know what to think!

What the hell is wrong with you people?
You are probably qualified enough to answer such a question.

Again, the link that RTP posted is just an article. There are way too many studies that prove both sides of the global warming debate. The idea here is that seasonal and cyclical changes do exist and do not have to exactly be related to the bigger picture (global warming).
A combination of factors including the positioning of major high and low pressure centers is leading to such conditions experienced all over the world and not just our area.
All storms expected for the upcoming 10 days have been cancelled
This is crazy!
We are more living a Desert weather than a Mediterranean one.
During day it can goes up to 20c and at night 10c,sky is clear to dusty.
If you want my point of view: Lebanon is fracked up by a much higher level of pollution than it should!
And the worst part is that nobody care till it will be too late (no more drinking water in summer including Lebanese branded),people will have to buy foreign expensive water.
What can we do? Ask politicians for greener cities and limit the quotas of mazout trucks in Lebanon (cement trucks are 100x more in 2013 than in 2003)
eWizzard wroteOh yes, it's so very confusing when articles based on peer-reviewed scientific research are in disagreement with the bible. God didn't say anything about global warming, so we don't know what to think!

What the hell is wrong with you people?
Can anyone please let me know how the climate change stuff comes at disagreement with the Bible. I am not familiar with neither literature, but it's quite interesting.
bible "god created the world in 7 days", i think we can agree that the bible isn't that good with science. moving on...
rtp wrotebible "god created the world in 7 days", i think we can agree that the bible isn't that good with science. moving on...
I know all religious books contain a lot of bullshit (except maybe your religious book.)
I was asking: "What in climate change do the conservatives (mostly christians) don't like?"
Christian by birth, Atheist by choice

I read the bible more times than you can count...

so if anybody knows about Christianity, its me, ironically