hussam wrote
Unlikely. Doesn't Terranet have their own backbone that does not go through Ogero? I heard both Sodetel and Terranet have some license to not use Ogero's backbone.
IDM will just get cheaper bandwidth from Ogero and distribute it for cheaper prices. The net result will be the same.
NOTE! Rumours, i dont have exact info: IDM as i know suing Abdel-Moneim Youssef. Since it is Lebanon, my guess IDM will have troubles getting bandwidth. Few other ISPs also. Also if ADSL rules for switching ISP will be eased - all this game will end up in IDM and Terranet bankrupcy, cause they trusted government, and moved their customers to government controlled ADSL, instead of running their own DSP non-telephone-based networks.
hussam wrote
Understandable. They are going to offer a package that others are not going to compete with (for whatever reason).
And above all, they are going to make it more accessible.
For now yes. As soon as they get semi-monopoly, no need to compete anymore, they will rape users, as they are raping ISPs now.
I will give you example, it is also some of ISPs secrets, how pricing planning is done in normal countries and what are common mistakes in Lebanon.
I best case they will sell for ISPs mbit with new prices (still i am not sure about them) around $100-$170/Mbit. End-user 2Mbit unlimited offer on Ogero is $50.
Some people will say "2Mbit users wont use as ISP", but in Lebanon it might be an opposite, while good ISP should not use 100% of his bandwidth, he need to use around 70% to keep quality, some users don't care, they share connection with neighbours, and their unlimited packages are flat 24/7 (this is why FUP common and heavily enfoced on unlimited connections in Lebanon). And what is worst, you can't just take one unlimited package "like in Europe and USA" and introduce it together with quota packages. Yes it is way how things done usually in Lebanon, but it ends up miserably. Why?
When ISP have quota cheap package 40GB for $20(let's say), and he have $50 unlimited. Assumptions of Ogero management "people who want better connection and can pay extra will pay for this unlimited package, and this way we increase ARPU (Average revenue per user). This is somehow also economics of EU/US companies, but they doesn't work in "resource scarce" Lebanon and again even if they offer quota and unlimited packages - they do it different way.
For most of users already will be enough 40GB 2Mbit new minimal package, and only who will be interested in 2Mbps unlimited is users who needs a lot of bandwidth, means users i described above and heavy downloaders. For companies and serious users who need more bandwidth - ADSL is not interesting in general, because of asymmetry - read: limited upload capacity.
Bandwidth cost in Europe BULK barely $1/Mbit, let's say with transportation it will cost $10, so while on ISP they do profit $160, on end-user it will be only $15. Guess how long this offer will stand truly unlimited, after private ISPs is gone, and there is no more such profit.